What's Included in the 2021 ISA Global Economic and Risk Outlook

A Look Back at 2020

  • The Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic
  • The Worst Recession in Decades
  • The US Presidential Election
  • China's Growing Assertiveness

The Impact of Covid-19 in 2021

  • The Continuing Spread of the Virus
  • The Outlook for Vaccine Distribution
  • The Outlook for Further Lockdown Measures
  • Timing for a Return to Normality

The Economic Outlook for 2021

  • The Economic Outlook for All Major Economies
  • The Threat of an Uneven Recovery
  • The Outlook for International Trade
  • The Main Economic Risks of 2021

Geopolitics in 2021

  • The Leading Geopolitical Risks of 2021
  • The Biden Administration's Foreign Policy
  • The Outlook for 2021's Most Important Elections
  • The Impact of Geopolitics on the Global Economy

Key Issues to Watch in 2021

  • The Threat of a Longer Economic Downturn
  • Weaker Economies Face a Long-Term Struggle
  • The US-China Relationship
  • The Impact of the Pandemic

Long-Term Trends to Watch

  • Demographic changes
  • Rising protectionism and nationalism
  • Sluggish productivity growth
  • The impact of environmental changes

How the 2021 ISA Global Economic and Risk Outlook is Presented

  • As an online webinar to your organization or group
  • As a keynote speech at your conference or event
  • As a roundtable discussion including in-depth discussions with the audience

Highlights from the 2021 ISA Global Economic and Risk Outlook

Economic Highlights

  • The global economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic will be highly uneven, with some economies struggling to return to pre-pandemic levels of output.
  • More competitive economies with a strong presence in high-tech and high-growth industries will return to growth much faster than other economies.
  • Governments will struggle to cope with the huge deficits that resulted from the economic stimulus measures enacted during the pandemic.
  • The center of global economic power will continue to shift towards the Asia-Pacific region, even as economic growth in China fails to return to earlier levels.
  • Declining working-age populations, an uncertain outlook for trade and investment, and falling productivity growth rates will make it more difficult to generate long-term economic growth.

Geopolitical Highlights

  • Despite the change in government in Washington, relations between the United States and many of its long-time allies will remain strained.
  • China's growing assertiveness in Asia and further abroad will result in more countries working together to counter China's rising power.
  • 2021 will be a relatively quiet year for elections (at least when compared to 2020), with the most consequential elections taking place in Japan, Iran and Germany.
  • Right-wing and left-wing populism is likely to continue to gain support in many areas of the world, making it harder to form stable governments.
  • Conflict risk will remain dangerously high in many parts of Africa, the Middle East, Central Asia and East Europe in the coming months.

Have the 2021 ISA Global Economic and Risk Outlook Presented to Your Organization or Event

  • To learn more about how you can have ISA present the 2021 ISA Global Economic and Risk Outlook at your next event or business meeting, contact ISA at info(at)isa-world.com